Coronavirus ‘could kill 2,300 each DAY totaling 80,000 in US in next four months’ – The Sun

CORONAVIRUS could kill 2,300 Americans every day which could lead to 80,000 deaths in the next four months, experts say. 

The damning forecast was published on Thursday when the US death toll topped 1,000 and officials warned it could be worse here than hard-hit Italy.



Researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington's School of Medicine analyzed the latest COVID-19 data at a local, national and international level.

They found the demand for beds and equipment may not be able to meet the demand of COVID-19 cases by the second week of April, reports

They estimate around 81,000 Americans will die from the virus in the months to come – but predictions ranged from 38,000 to over 160,000.

According to IHME's model, as many as 2,300 people could die daily when the disease peaks, despite the social distancing efforts.

IHME experts looked at hospitalization rates, mortality rates, as well as patients' age, gender, underlying conditions.

They conducted in-depth research on the time lag between the initial fatalities and officials ramping up the mitigation measures, like closing schools and shuttering businesses.

After looking at the US' ICU bed and ventilator capacity, they crunched the numbers.


The news emerged after the country's top public health official, Surgeon General Jerome Adams, said "we could be worse than Italy if we don't participate in these 15 days to stop the spread."

Likewise, the institute's director, Christopher Murray, said their trajectory was based on "uninterrupted vigilance by the general public, hospital workers, and government agencies."

"The trajectory of the pandemic will change – and dramatically for the worse – if people ease up on social distancing or relax with other precautions," Murray said.

"We hope these forecasts will help leaders of medical systems figure out innovative ways to deliver high-quality care to those who will need their services in the coming weeks."

Twenty-one states will need more ICU beds than are available now, IHME said – but 12 may be forced to up their capacity by 50 percent.

Hard-hit areas in New York may peak in just two weeks according to Governor Andrew Cuomo, who has repeatedly appealed for more ventilators.

The disturbing news comes as ten states are declared "disaster" areas, meaning half the US population are living in disaster zones as of Thursday, March 26.




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Taliban pledges not to kill healthcare workers

Taliban pledges not to kill healthcare workers as fear of a coronavirus epidemic spreads in Afghanistan

  • Taliban spokesperson said they will work with international health organisations
  • One commander said they don’t have adequate facilities to deal with epidemic 
  • Afghanistan currently has 22 confirmed coronavirus cases, with more predicted 
  • Coronavirus symptoms: what are they and should you see a doctor?

The Taliban have pledged their readiness to cooperate with healthcare workers instead of killing them, as fear of a coronavirus epidemic spreads in Afghanistan.   

Whatever reservations the militants previously held over eradicating the crippling disease, they have now clearly grasped the dangers posed by the pandemic sweeping the rest of the world.

In the past the military organisation have been accused of impeding the work of doctors. 

‘The Islamic Emirate via its Health Commission assures all international health organizations and WHO of its readiness to cooperate and coordinate with them in combating the coronavirus,’ said Suhail Shaheen, the Taliban’s spokesman, on Twitter, using the term the group uses to describe itself.

An Afghan health worker in Kabul measures the temperature of passengers in an effort to prevent the spread of the coronavirus

Afghanistan currently has 22 confirmed coronavirus cases, with concerns growing particularly over the danger of infections among the thousands of Afghans crossing the border with Iran – one of the worst-affected nations. 

Zabihullah Mujahid, another Taliban spokesman, told Reuters fighters were encouraging people to listen to health workers and messages broadcast by Mullahs, and would force anyone not obeying to comply.

‘Our Mujahideen are helping the health workers to spread out the messages about the dangers of COVID-19 among the public in our controlled areas,’ he said.

Religious scholars would also be consulted over whether gatherings in mosques should be suspended if the health scare intensified, he added.

A Taliban commander in southern Helmand province said the group would provide what services it could for people who became infected, but added that they neither had adequate facilities nor trained personnel to deal with an epidemic.

Afghanistan currently has 22 confirmed coronavirus cases, with concerns growing particularly over the danger of infections among the thousands of Afghans crossing the border with Iran – one of the worst-affected nations. Pictured: an Afghan worker sprays disinfectant in Jalalabad, Afghanistan

Along with two other commanders that Reuters spoke with, he said the Taliban had clinics where sick or wounded fighters were taken for treatment.

Otherwise, some Afghan non-government organisations are operating in insurgency-prone areas.

Waheed Omer, an aide to President Ashraf Ghani, said he was still seeing reports of Taliban harassing health workers in some areas.

‘It should be stopped immediately,’ he Tweeted on Wednesday. 

Back in September, the Taliban lifted a ban on the World Health Organisation and Red Cross from operating in militant-held territory, having warned them off in April because of suspicions over polio vaccination campaigns. 

An Afghan health worker measures the temperature of passengers in an effort to prevent the spread of the coronavirus as they enter Kabul

In a report in December, the World Health Organisation refrained from naming the Taliban or any other militant group as it counted the human and social cost of targeted attacks on healthcare during 2019.

At least 51 healthcare workers, patients and supportive staff were killed and 142 others wounded. As a result of the attacks 192 health facilities were closed, of which only 34 were re-opened. 

The Taliban denied responsibility for the attacks that Afghan authorities have blamed on their fighters.

The country’s woefully inadequate health system would undoubtedly be overwhelmed if the virus were to take hold. Moreover, after 18 years of war the government only controls about half of the country.

The rest is either controlled or contested by the insurgents, who have agreed a peace deal with the United States, but have yet to open talks with the government.

A worker in a protective suit sprays disinfectant over a police vehicle in Kabul, Afghanistan

Communities in ethnic Pashtun rural areas where the Taliban hold sway could suffer from the loss of access to health support in their villages as a result of past militant action.

Access can be even worse for women in these communities due to conservative Pashtun attitudes on gender.

Rahila, a 31 year old woman living in Takhar province, said that in her village in a Taliban-controlled area there was a health clinic with only male doctors.

‘When we get sick we are not allowed to go to a doctor, instead our husbands bring medicine for us,’ Rahila told Reuters, asking not to publish her full name over safety concerns. ‘Who will test the women?’

She added: ‘What if a woman has a coronavirus…everyone in our village will be affected. If magic happens and helps the Taliban, then the Taliban can prevent coronavirus in our village.’ 

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‘You don’t get to kill Americans … and get away with it’: US launches strikes

Washington: The US has launched airstrikes in Iraq targeting the Iranian-backed Shia militia members believed responsible for a rocket attack that killed and wounded American and British troops, military officials have confirmed.

One US official said multiple strikes targeted Kataib Hezbollah weapons facilities inside Iraq late Thursday (Friday morning AEDT). The strikes were a partnered operation with the British, that official said, speaking on condition of anonymity because operations were still going on.

The US strikes followed an attack on the Taji military base in Iraq, north of Baghdad, where two American personnel and one from Britain were killed and about a dozen people were wounded.

US Defence Secretary Mark Esper said the US would hold the perpetrators of the attack accountable.Credit:AP

No Australians were injured in the attack on Wednesday and it is unknown whether Australian Defence Force troops were in the vicinity when the 18 small rockets hit the camp.

The US military said the 107mm Katyusha rockets were fired from a truck launcher that was found by Iraqi security forces near the base after the attack.

Defence Secretary Mark Esper told reporters at the Pentagon earlier Thursday that President Donald Trump had given him the authority to take whatever action he deemed necessary.

"We're going to take this one step at a time, but we've got to hold the perpetrators accountable," Esper said. "You don't get to shoot at our bases and kill and wound Americans and get away with it."

At the White House, Trump had also hinted that a US counterpunch could be coming, telling reporters, "We'll see what the response is." And Army General Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Pentagon reporters the US knows "with a high degree of certainty" who launched the attack.

Marine General Frank McKenzie, the top US commander for the Middle East, told senators the deaths of US and coalition troops created a "red line" for the US, but said he didn't think Iran has "a good understanding of where our red line is."

Asked if any counterattack could include a strike inside Iran, Esper said, "We are focused on the group that we believe perpetrated this in Iraq."

US officials have not publicly said what group they believe launched the rocket attack, but Kataib Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed Shia militia group, was the likely perpetrator. And the U.S. strikes, which came in the middle of the night in Iraq, targeted that group.

Kataib Hezbollah was responsible for a late December rocket attack on a military base in Kirkuk that killed a US contractor, prompting American military strikes in response.

That in turn led to protests at the US Embassy in Baghdad. They were followed on January 3 by a US airstrike that killed Iran's most powerful military officer, General Qassem Soleimani, and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, a leader of the Iran-backed militias in Iraq, of which Kataib Hezbollah is a member.

In response to the Soleimani killing, Iran launched a massive ballistic missile attack on January 8, at al-Asad air base in Iraq, which resulted in traumatic brain injuries to more than 100 American troops.

McKenzie told the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday morning that the killing of Soleimani and the increase in US troops and assets in the region has made clear to Iran that the US will defend its interests there. He said the US has re-established a level of deterrence for state-on-state attacks by Iran.

However, he said: "What has not been changed is their continuing desire to operate through their proxies indirectly again us. That is a far more difficult area to deter."

On Thursday, Esper and Milley said they spoke with their British counterparts about the attack, but declined to provide details.

Asked why none of the rockets was intercepted, Milley said there are no systems on the base capable of defending against that type of attack.

He also said the 14 injured personnel were a mix of US and allied troops as well as contractors, and they will also be monitored for possible traumatic brain injury in the wake of the blasts.

AP

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Does Warren kill Liam in Hollyoaks? Jude Monk McGowan has dropped a huge hint

LIAM is desperate for revenge against Warren after being kidnapped by him and his goons in Hollyoaks.

Jude Monk McGowan – who plays Liam on the Channel 4 soap – has teased that his character massively underestimates what Warren is capable of. But could he end up murdering Liam?

Does Warren kill Liam in Hollyoaks?

Hollyoaks fans know that Liam and Warren are in the midst of a feud after Liam started threatening Mercedes to shut her up about her shooting.

Mercedes and Warren have their suspicions that Liam was the mystery assailant who gunned her down last year.

But in an effort to save his sister Grace and ex James – the real culprits – Liam has been threatening Mercedes to keep her quiet.

But Warren wasn't happy when Liam got his goons to smash up her pub.

The rivalry between the villains then came to a nasty head when Warren kidnapped Liam and threatened to kill him depending on the result of a coin toss.

But just when it looked like Warren was going to choke Liam, Warren’s son Joel burst in and stopped him from taking another life.

Begging his dad not to get put behind bars again, he said: "Give [Liam] a final warning. Let him get his priorities straight and be there for his little girl."

Warren then let Liam go with a warning to keep out of his way.

But with exact plot details being kept under wraps, fans will have to tune in to find out whether Warren finishes off the job and murders Liam in upcoming episodes.

Does Liam kill Warren in Hollyoaks?

In the wake of Liam's kidnapping ordeal, his sister Grace encouraged him to hit back at Warren and win the battle.

Fans then watched Liam add Warren’s picture to his dartboard of doom, which he's been adding to since the death of his little brother Jesse Donovan.

He then enlisted Maxine’s help to seduce and drug Warren but she didn’t manage to go through with it.

But what else does Liam have up his sleeve?

The leap year trailer shows Liam gathering everyone who’s crossed him at the Dog for what he’s calling a “devil’s dinner party”.

The villain then exposes Grace and James as the ones who shot Mercedes to the landlady herself as he holds everyone hostage.

The trailer shows Warren sneaking in as Liam keeps everyone as hostages, but with exact details being kept under wraps fans will have to wait to find out if anyone meets their end during the explosive scenes.

What has Jude Monk McGowan said about his character’s feud with Warren?

Actor Jude Monk McGowan has spoken out to reveal that his character Liam Donovan is set to massively underestimate his rival Warren Fox as they go head-to-head in a number of explosive clashes over Mercedes.

"Warren definitely isn't someone you should underestimate – you do so at your peril," Jude told Inside Soap magazine.

"But I think, initially, Liam totally does that!"

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Coronavirus will kill Britons, warns Britain's Chief Medical Officer

Coronavirus will kill Britons, warns Britain’s Chief Medical Officer who says epidemic is now ‘highly likely’ and wearing masks will not stop infections – as two more test positive in Scotland

  • Professor Christ Whitty says people buying masks is only effective for hospital 
  • Comes amid fears that the NHS won’t have access to masks if there’s a shortage 
  • Told Good Morning Britain that the country is facing a ‘significant epidemic’  

Coronavirus will kill Britons, the Chief Medical Officer has warned today as he said an epidemic is ‘highly likely’ as two more test positive in Scotland, bring the total number of UK cases to 53.

Professor Chris Whitty also told ITV’s Good Morning Britain that people wearing masks in public will have little effect on whether or not they catch Covid-19.

He told the show’s presenters Piers Morgan and Susanna Reid: ‘It’s much more likely than not that we’re going to deal with a significant epidemic.’

Professor Whitty went on to describe that an epidemic is ‘highly likely’ to hit the nation. 

And he said that protective masks would do little good for the people donning them on Tubes, streets and in airports.

‘If people have act got an infection and are being moved around a hospital then someone wearing masks is a good thing to do but for people just walking the streets it’s not going to have a significant effect,’ he said.  

Morgan pointed out that those who are wearing the ineffective items might also leave less masks available for the NHS to buy up.

A man wears a medical mask on a street in London yesterday

A woman wears a mask as a precaution against coronavirus on a street in London yesterday

It comes after the news that a breath test that instantly spots patients with coronavirus has been developed by British scientists.

They say the technology could be used to rapidly screen people in airports. And it could also be used in GP surgeries, pharmacies or ambulances, giving an instant result.

The technology, developed by a team at Northumbria University in Newcastle, needs further testing but experts believe it could be quickly change the way the virus is spotted around the world. 

The Government is launching a renewed public information campaign urging people to wash their hands to prevent the spread of coronavirus.

Adverts will seek to drive home the message that regular hand-washing is the single most important action individuals can take in the fight against Covid-19.

A stone’s throw from Number 10, two people wear protective face masks in London’s Parliament Square amid concerns of a British outbreak 

It also comes the day after the Government launched its ‘battle plan’ to combat the outbreak with a warning that up to a fifth of the UK workforce could be off sick when the virus hits its peak.

Officials disclosed yesterday that the number of people in the UK diagnosed with Covid-19 had risen to 51, with 12 new cases – while a British woman staying in Tenerife has also tested positive for the virus.

Meanwhile, NHS England has ordered hospitals to review their intensive care bed numbers and how they could be increased to cope with a surge in cases.

In a letter to NHS bosses, strategic incident director Keith Willett said a level four incident – the highest category – had been declared

He raised the prospect that infected patients may soon start being treated on hospital wards as the numbers grow.

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Spoilers: Who does Liam kill as he seeks revenge in Hollyoaks?

Liam Donovan (Jude Monk McGowan) is a man on a mission in Hollyoaks as he plots to take revenge on all of the enemies of his family as he seeks to find out who is responsible for the tragic death of Jesse.

With him already seeing Mercedes McQueen (Jennifer Metcalfe) as a main target, they end up in a showdown after he sends her a macabre wreath. Meanwhile, his feud with Mercedes leads him into direct conflict with Warren Fox (Jamie Lomas) which soon explodes into violence.

And when Liam gets Warren arrested and really triggers his temper, he is playing with fire as he may have met his match this time. We also see him contemplating killing John Paul McQueen (James Sutton) as he bundles him into a van and kidnaps him – but how far is he willing to go.

With his short lived relationship with James Nightingale (Gregory Finnegan) in tatters, Liam also issues him with a dark threat – and he will later make the discovery that James is the one who shot Mercedes – along with his own sister Grace Black (Tamara Wall).

Official Hollyoaks Trailer: Leap Year 2020

HERE IT IS! The extra treat you’ve all been waiting for… The Hollyoaks Leap Year Trailer has arrived and there really is no other way to spend your extra day than to watch it… On repeat of course! 😉

Geplaatst door Hollyoaks op Vrijdag 28 februari 2020

Having discovered deleted CCTV footage, Liam is for once lost for words – and as he plans a deadly party for all of his enemies, he exposes the culprits to a stunned Mercedes. However, with Jude confirming that Liam is capable of both ordering and committing murder – and the vengeful character promising a big finale in the trailer – who is going to take the full force of Liam’s revenge?

If you’ve got a soap or TV story, video or pictures get in touch with the Metro.co.uk soaps and drama team by emailing us [email protected] or by visiting our Submit Stuff page – we’d love to hear from you.

Additionally, join in with the community by using our comments section below to share your thoughts on this story. You can see all other soap stories by visiting our homepage here and you cansign up for our free newsletter full of exclusive soap news, interviews and spoilers by following this link.

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Cruel dad ‘tried to kill daughter, 7, with drain cleaner and painkillers by injecting them into her cecostomy tube – The Sun

A FATHER who tried to kill his ailing seven-year-old daughter with drain cleaner and painkillers will spend up to 18 years in prison.

Christopher Conley used a medical device to inject Liquid-Plumr and then overdosed her with pain medication in 2015, according to authorities.


Conley was sentenced this week to 16-to-18 years in prison in connection with the attempted murder of the young girl, who barely survived.

"She was sentenced to life in prison," a prosecutor said, according to Western Mass News.

"A prison controlled by her injured body. A prison controlled by her injured mind."

The 37-year-old Conley injected the cleaner into her cecostomy tube in an effort to try to kill her, according to court documents obtained by Western Mass News.

He said in his confession to police that he poisoned his daughter in an attempt to end her suffering, according to the Daily Hampshire Gazette.

A Massachusetts jury would find him guilty of attempted murder, assault and battery of a child by means of a dangerous weapon, and assault and battery on a child causing substantial bodily injury.

"I think it must have been a really hard job for the jury," Assistant District Attorney Linda Pisano told the Gazette.

"The child got some justice today and I think that's important."

The girl, who is now 12, sees a therapist to help handle the physical and psychological trauma that was done to her.

"She continues to deal with the unknown: the unknown of why this was done with her, the unknown of what she will have to face in the future, the unknown of whether her reproductive organs have been damaged and whether she will ever be able to have children of her own," her adoptive mother told the Gazette.

The mom added that the young victim "now lives with multiple physical and emotional scars."

"She will live with these scars for the rest of her life."

Prosecutors had asked for a sentence of 18-to-20 years. Judge Richard Carey called the crimes "intentional and horrific" when he issued the sentence, according to the Gazette.

Conley's former wife Julie Conley has pleaded not guilty to charges in connection to the attack on her daughter.

Her trial is scheduled to begin next month.

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