Coronavirus ‘could kill 2,300 each DAY totaling 80,000 in US in next four months’ – The Sun

CORONAVIRUS could kill 2,300 Americans every day which could lead to 80,000 deaths in the next four months, experts say. 

The damning forecast was published on Thursday when the US death toll topped 1,000 and officials warned it could be worse here than hard-hit Italy.



Researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington's School of Medicine analyzed the latest COVID-19 data at a local, national and international level.

They found the demand for beds and equipment may not be able to meet the demand of COVID-19 cases by the second week of April, reports

They estimate around 81,000 Americans will die from the virus in the months to come – but predictions ranged from 38,000 to over 160,000.

According to IHME's model, as many as 2,300 people could die daily when the disease peaks, despite the social distancing efforts.

IHME experts looked at hospitalization rates, mortality rates, as well as patients' age, gender, underlying conditions.

They conducted in-depth research on the time lag between the initial fatalities and officials ramping up the mitigation measures, like closing schools and shuttering businesses.

After looking at the US' ICU bed and ventilator capacity, they crunched the numbers.


The news emerged after the country's top public health official, Surgeon General Jerome Adams, said "we could be worse than Italy if we don't participate in these 15 days to stop the spread."

Likewise, the institute's director, Christopher Murray, said their trajectory was based on "uninterrupted vigilance by the general public, hospital workers, and government agencies."

"The trajectory of the pandemic will change – and dramatically for the worse – if people ease up on social distancing or relax with other precautions," Murray said.

"We hope these forecasts will help leaders of medical systems figure out innovative ways to deliver high-quality care to those who will need their services in the coming weeks."

Twenty-one states will need more ICU beds than are available now, IHME said – but 12 may be forced to up their capacity by 50 percent.

Hard-hit areas in New York may peak in just two weeks according to Governor Andrew Cuomo, who has repeatedly appealed for more ventilators.

The disturbing news comes as ten states are declared "disaster" areas, meaning half the US population are living in disaster zones as of Thursday, March 26.




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This Guy Lost 300 Pounds Doing CrossFit Every Day

At his heaviest, 27-year-old Alex weighed more than 500 pounds and felt uncomfortable going to the gym. Now, after changing his diet and taking up CrossFit, he has dropped 300 pounds and is in the best shape of his life. Sharing his story with Barcroft TV, Alex explains what inspired his weight loss transformation.

“I’ve always had a problem with my weight, I’ve always been the big kid in the class, I was always picked last in gym,” he says. “My weight just started to spiral and get out of hand right after high school. Food was always a comfort, and I just abused it. I was eating all the wrong stuff in all the wrong amounts. 12 packs of Mountain Dew, eating tons of Oreos, pizza, Chinese buffet, ice cream, you name it, I was just eating it. I had no knowledge of what calories and eating all these foods was doing besides making my weight go up.”

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“Every year since I can remember, my yearly checkups have been ‘You need to lose weight, we need to consider surgery,'” he continues. “At one point, the doctor actually told me if I didn’t lose weight I wasn’t gonna live.”

Everything changed one day during his job a courier, when he was making a delivery to a warehouse with a pallet scale: “Just out of curiosity I stepped on, and I was shocked. I saw 480 pounds,” he says. “But if I look back at pictures a couple of months prior, I was bigger. So I believe I was 500+ at one point. From that day forward, I just completely changed my life. I knew that this was my time, this was my final chance, my last, last shot. Knowing that I’m an adult now, this is my life, it can either end really soon or I could start taking care of myself, it was all on me.”

He ditched the vast volumes of soda in favor of just water, and cut the fast food from his diet, which led to a weight loss of 40 pounds in the first month alone. And Alex soon got over his anxiety around working out in front of other people, hitting the gym six or seven times a week and throwing himself into rigorous CrossFit workouts which constantly changed and challenged his body to adapt.

“The gym used to make me uncomfortable, now I’m doing CrossFit every morning at 5 a.m.,” he says. “I lost 280 pounds. The lowest that I hit was 199 pounds. 200 to 205 pounds is where I feel healthy and where I feel like I can perform the best physically.”

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